Mercatus Newsroom

Expert Commentary

Mercatus scholars apply economic analysis to the issues of the day

Better Solutions for More Jobs in Our Jobless Recovery

by Keith Hall on June 17, 2013

Regarding Alan Blinder's "Fiscal Fixes for the Jobless Recovery" (June 11): Prof. Blinder is absolutely right that there is an unfortunate air of complacency in Washington about job creation. The seemingly low 7.6% unemployment rate is masking an extremely low employment rate of just 58.6%—about the same as midyear 2009. At our current pace, we are a decade away from a full labor market recovery. Where he is wrong, however, is putting the blame on a lack of growth in government employment.

Fueled by the surge in government spending, total government...

A Farm Bill Bait and Switch

by Vincent H. Smith on June 17, 2013

The 2013 Farm Bill presents a real opportunity for substantive changes in U.S. agricultural policy. But instead of reform, both the House and Senate agricultural committees are offering classic bait-and-switch proposals to protect farm subsidies – more than 80 percent of which flow to households much wealthier than the average American family. 

As I discuss in my new study for the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, the bills' bait is the elimination of the politically toxic Direct Payments program, introduced in 1996, which annually sends about $5 billion in welfare checks to people who own or farm cropland – whether or not they grow any crops. The switch is the introduction of new programs that would give farmers even larger subsidies if either crop prices or average per-acre crop revenues decline from...

Bloated Farm Bill Subsidies: Will the Farm Bill Cut the Fat?

by Vincent H. Smith on June 17, 2013

A new study by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University analyzes current farm bill proposals by the House and Senate Agriculture Committees. The study’s author Vincent H. Smith, a professor of economics at Montana State University, examines how reducing farm subsidies by various levels would affect the structure of US agricultural policy.

Dr. Smith:

“American taxpayers spend more than $20 billion per year on farm subsidies—eighty percent of which flows to the largest and wealthiest 15 percent of farming operations, with annual incomes at least three-to-four times those of the average taxpayer.

“If Washington is truly looking to cut a little waste, the farm bill provides an exceptional...

Trustees Make Clear Social Security, Medicare Must Be Reformed

by Veronique de Rugy on June 14, 2013

Each year, the board of trustees for Social Security and Medicare release reports highlighting the financial outlook and solvency for these massive entitlement programs.

"We are looking at over $30 trillion in total obligations that we have to find sources to pay for above and beyond projected payroll tax and premium revenues."

Basically, both Social Security and Medicare are on unsustainable paths and must be reformed.

Take Social Security, for instance. Since 2010, Social Security has been running a permanent cash-flow deficit. That means that taxes collected for the program aren't enough to cover the benefits paid to retirees.

To fill the gap, the program is drawing from the trust-fund balances (first using the interest, then the principal) to keep payments to retirees going. In concrete terms, Treasury will borrow money to repay the trust funds, thus increasing our debt load as we go.

...

A Guide To the 2013 Social Security Trustees Report, Part II

e21
by Charles Blahous on June 12, 2013

As one of the programs’ two public trustees it has become my custom to publish such summaries soon after the annual publication of the reports. The first this year summarized the Social Security report, whereas this one will summarize the Medicare report. Following are some of the report’s key points:

The trustees’ projection for the depletion date of the Medicare Hospital Insurance (HI) Trust Fund is but one part of a much larger mosaic of Medicare finances. There is a tendency in press reporting to focus unduly on the trustees’ annual projection for the date of depletion of theMedicare HI trust fund. But Medicare is a large and complex program with different trust funds financed in different...

Film Tax Credit Is a Raw Deal for Taxpayers

by Antony Davies on June 12, 2013

Pennsylvania Senate Majority Leader Dominic Pileggi has announced that he will introduce legislation to uncap Pennsylvania's Film Production Tax Credit (FPTC) in an effort to entice production companies to film in the commonwealth.

To justify this sweetheart tax break for the film industry, Sen. Pileggi cites a “detailed report from the Independent Fiscal Office” that “concludes that ‘uncapping' the film tax credit would have a significant positive impact on Pennsylvania's economy with a minimal cost in the coming fiscal year.”

This is partially true. The Independent Fiscal Office (IFO) did release a report. The rest of the senator's statement, like most of what the film industry produces, is pure fantasy.

On page 2, the IFO clearly states that “(the report) does not address the fiscal or economic impact of the FPTC in general, nor does it evaluate the overall effectiveness of the credit.” In fact, the report can be summarized in two points: The tax credit will...

Portugal's Best Bet May Be Dumping the Euro

by Nita Ghei on June 10, 2013

A major motivation for the rivers of funds poured into the Greek bailouts was a grim determination to preserve the single currency within the European Union. As Greece remains mired in recession, the benefits of the outpouring of debt remain questionable at best. Now, Portugal is challenging the value of remaining a member of the eurozone, with an economics tract perching on its bestseller lists. Joao Ferreira do Amaral, a professor at Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, has sparked a much overdue debate in that crisis-wracked nation about the purported benefits of keeping the euro in his book "Why We Should Leave the Euro."

While the majority of Portuguese citizens continue to...

Modest Job Gains for May, Full Labor Market Recovery Still Far Off

by Keith Hall on June 07, 2013

The Bureau of Labor Statistics announced today that the U.S. economy added 175,000 new jobs in May, slightly below this year’s average of approximately 189,000 jobs per month. Mercatus Center senior research fellow Keith Hall, a former BLS commissioner, said that the current modest job growth numbers indicate that it will take several years for the labor market to fully recover from the Great Recession.

“Both the unemployment and labor force participation rates were essentially unchanged—rising from 7.5 percent to 7.6 percent and from 63.3 percent to 63.4 percent, respectively. 

“A full labor market recovery still seems years away, as we continue to have the same modest progress as in 2012. Job growth continues to...

A Post Euro-Zone Europe

by Nita Ghei on June 07, 2013

At its birth, economist soothsayers predicted a short life for the euro. For once, the economists might well be right. The man who might have the best paternity claim for the euro, Oskar Lafontaine, the finance minister for Germany at the time of its creation, recently repudiated it and called for a breakup of the currency zone as essential to diverting the southern European countries from “disaster.” Now, a book by economics professor Joao Ferreira do Amaral of Insituto Superior de Economia e Gestao called “Why We Should Leave the Euro” is sitting on top of the best-seller lists in Portugal, and generating a lively debate in that country about the...

A Guide To the 2013 Social Security Trustees Report

e21
by Charles Blahous on June 07, 2013

The Social Security and Medicare trustees released our annual reports last Friday, May 31. These reports set forth the state of program finances as required under the Social Security Act. There are six trustees; four of them (the Secretaries of Treasury, HHS and Labor as well as the Social Security Commissioner) serve by virtue of their government offices. The other two, of which am I one, are members of the public nominated by the President and confirmed by the US Senate. I have adopted the custom of publishing a short summary of each report just after it is released. This year’s Social Security report summary will roughly follow the format of last year’s, condensing the report’s fuller information into a few critical...

Book a Scholar

To schedule an interview, contact:
media@mercatus.org
phone: 703-993-9046

Twitter Feed

Facebook Fan Page

Become a Fan Today