Publications by Noel D. Johnson

Economics and Politics

Investing in Institutions

Robust institutional change is difficult to achieve. However, the growth paths of some countries are more likely to be affected by contemporaneous political turmoil than others. This paper supports this claim using data on GDP growth during periods of extreme political turmoil for 69 countries between 1870 and 2000. The authors argue that the robustness of a country’s growth path to political uncertainty depends on the degree to which individuals are invested in its current institutions.
Public Choice

Corruption is Bad for Growth (Even in the United States)

Noel D. Johnson | Aug 30, 2010
This paper estimates the impact of corruption on growth of output per worker in U.S. states. The authors find that corruption plays a significant and causal role in lowering growth and investment across the States.
Working Paper

Trade, Taxes, and Terroir

Noel D. Johnson, John Nye | Jul 06, 2010
This paper uses data on the wine market in France at the turn of the twentieth century to argue that excise taxes collected on quantity can also be protectionist. High internal tax rates generated Alchian-Allen effects that biased consumption and production towards local producers who sold higher priced wine. This study concludes that unit costs, even if they do not discriminate on the point of origin of a product, may generate significant barriers to market integration.
Working Paper

Investing in Institutions

Robust institutional change is difficult to achieve.  However, the growth paths of some countries are more likely to be affected by contemporaneous political turmoil than others.  This paper supports this claim using data on GDP growth during periods of extreme political turmoil for 69 countries between 1870 and 2000.  The authors argue that the robustness of a country’s growth path to political uncertainty depends on the degree to which individuals are invested in its current institutions. 
The Journal of Economic History

Fiscal Crisis and Institutional Change in the Ottoman Empire and France

Noel D. Johnson | Oct 23, 2009
Why is it that some countries adopted growth enhancing institutions earlier than others during the early-modern period? We address this question through a comparative study of the evolution of French and Ottoman fiscal institutions.
Working Paper

Corruption is Bad for Growth (Even in the United States)

Noel D. Johnson | Aug 2009
This paper estimates the impact of corruption on growth of output per worker in U.S. states. The authors find that corruption plays a significant and causal role in lowering growth and investment across the States.
Working Paper

Does Fortune Favor Dragons?

Why do seemingly irrational superstitions persist?  This paper analyzes the widely held belief among Asians that children born in the Year of the Dragon are superior.  It uses pooled cross section data from the U.S. Current Population Survey to show that Asian immigrants to the United States born in the 1976 year of the Dragon are more educated than comparable immigrants from non-Dragon years.
Working Paper

War! What is it Good For?

Whatever gains may come from fighting wars, economic growth is not among them.  This paper examines the long-run impact of interstate conflict on real GDP per capita for a cross section of countries between 1960 and 2000 and finds that a 10 percent increase in fatality-weighted conflict over that period results in an average decrease of 1.2 to 1.6 percent in 2000 real GDP per capita.
Working Paper

Cultures of Kindness: A Meta-Analysis of Trust Game Experiments

Noel D. Johnson | May 2009
This paper collects data on trust and trustworthy behavior from 84 iterations of the Berg, Dickhaut, and McCabe Investment game (the “trust” game). The authors perform a meta-analysis of these games in order to identify the effect of experimental protocols and cross-country cultural differences on trust and trustworthiness.