Financial Markets Working Group | Published Reseach

What Happened to "Efficient Markets"?

Peter J. Boettke | Dec 17, 2009
The financial crisis invalidated a naïve notion of “efficient markets,” but the most sophisticated version is still viable. Whereas the invalidated version holds that markets never err and always adjust instantaneously, the sophisticated version, associated with the ideas of Adam Smith and F. A. Hayek, holds that markets mobilize individuals to realize gains from trade and to innovate and thereby produce generalized prosperity.
The House That Uncle Sam Built image

The House That Uncle Sam Built

The Untold Story of the Great Recession of 2008
The Great Recession (or the Great Hangover) that began in 2008 did not have to happen. Its causes and consequences are not mysterious. Indeed, this particular and very painful episode affirms what the best nonpartisan economists have tried to tell our politicians and policy-makers for decades, namely, that the more they try to inflate and direct the economy, the more damage the rest of us will suffer sooner or later.
Not What They Had in Mind: A History of Policies that Produced the Financial Crisis of 2008 image

Not What They Had in Mind: A History of Policies that Produced the Financial Crisis of 2008

Arnold Kling | Sep 2009
This paper looks at the roots of the current crisis through an analytical framework of bad bets, excessive leverage, domino effects, and 21st-century bank runs. It shows that broad policy areas—including housing policy, capital regulations for banks, industry structure and competition, autonomous financial innovation, and monetary policy—affected elements of this framework to varying, but important degrees. Ultimately, this special study seeks to draw meaningful lessons for policymakers by understanding the complex history, evolution, and integrated nature of financial regulations.

Talking the Talk, or Walking the Walk? Outcome-Based Regulation of Transnational Investment

Houman Shadab, Jerry Ellig | Jul 29, 2009
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) seeks to increase investors' access to foreign markets by negotiating bilateral agreements with foreign regulators pursuant to a policy known as "mutual recognition." Under mutual recognition, a foreign entity seeking to access U.S. capital markets would be permitted to substitute compliance with its home country's regulations for compliance with U.S. regulation, as long as it agrees to submit to SEC antifraud jurisdiction in its dealings with U.S. investors. Similarly, U.S. entities could enter foreign markets without subjecting themselves to a second layer of regulation on top of what the SEC already requires. This article suggests that the best way for the SEC to pursue mutual recognition is to recognize foreign securities regimes that achieve investor protection outcomes comparable to those achieved by the SEC, and provides a concrete and workable approach for the SEC to follow.

A Simple Theory of the Financial Crisis; or, Why Fischer Black Still Matters

Tyler Cowen | Jun 10, 2009
The key question about the current financial crisis is how so many investors could have mispriced risk in the same way and at the same time. This article looks at the work of Fischer Black for insight into this problem.

Guilty by Association? Regulating Credit Default Swaps

Houman Shadab | Mar 27, 2009
Houman B. Shadab writes about how current discussions on regulations and policies about financial instruments by policymakers fail to distinguish between Credit Default Swaps and the actual mortgage-related debt securities, entities, and practices at the root of the financial crisis.

An Artifact of Law: U.S. Prohibition of Retail Hedge Funds

Houman Shadab | Dec 02, 2008
In this article Houman Shadab addresses the inaccessibility of the U.S. hedge funds market.

Fending for Themselves: Creating a U.S. Hedge Fund Market for Retail Investors

Houman Shadab | Aug 07, 2008
This article addresses the inability of U.S. retailers to directly invest in hedge funds. The article proposes specific regulatory reforms to allow sophisticated retail investors to have access to hedge funds.

The Law and Economics of Hedge Funds: Financial Innovation and Investor Protection

Houman Shadab | Mar 04, 2008
A hedge fund is a type of private investment pool that actively trades securities and is not subject to the full range of restrictions on investment activities and disclosure obligations imposed by the federal securities laws. This working paper explores the law and economics of hedge funds, and shows that the economic outcomes attained by hedge funds are in part attributable to the legal regime under which they operate.
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Primer on Regulation

Susan Dudley, Susan Dudley | Dec 06, 2005
The "Primer on Regulation" provides an overview of regulation, from theoretical issues of why we see regulation where we do, to analytical questions of how to write a good regulation.